
Raul Perestrello Unlikely to Win Portuguese Presidential Election
Event Context
Presidential elections in Portugal are slated for January 2026, with a potential second round in February. The outcome hinges on whether any candidate can secure more than 50% of the valid votes in the initial round. While the specific candidates are yet to be fully confirmed and campaigning is expected to intensify, the current market sentiment suggests a very low probability for Raul Perestrello to emerge victorious. There is no current information available from credible sources to suggest that Raul Perestrello is a leading contender or has significant support in the upcoming presidential race.
The resolution of this market is tied to the official results as reported by the Portuguese National Election Commission (CNE). Should the election not be decided by the end of 2026, the market will resolve to 'Other'. As of now, the focus remains on the broader electoral process and the eventual declaration of a winner by the Portuguese authorities.
Resolution Rules
The market resolves to the candidate who wins the Portuguese presidential election scheduled for January or February 2026. If no candidate secures over 50% of the vote, a second round will be held. The market resolves to 'Other' if the result is not determined by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Resolution Deadline
January 25, 2026
Market Source: Polymarket