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PostLikely.
The world's first probability-first news platform. We filter the noise to give you the raw signal on what's actually happening.
Showing 100 stories
Highly Unlikely
Until May 2026Sports
Bournemouth Wins 2025-26 Premier League
Probability0%
Highly Unlikely
Until Feb 2026Sports
Houston Texans Win Super Bowl LX
Probability3%
Likely
Until Dec 2025Sports
Lando Norris Wins 2025 F1 Drivers Championship
Probability74%
Highly Likely
Until Dec 2025Politics
US Government Reserves Remain Bitcoin-Free Through 2025
Probability98%
Highly Unlikely
Until Nov 2028Politics
Sarah Huckabee Sanders Wins 2028 Republican Nomination
Probability0%
Highly Unlikely
Until Jul 2026Sports
Sacramento Kings Win 2026 NBA Finals
Probability0%
Highly Unlikely
Until Nov 2028Politics
Josh Hawley Does Not Win 2028 Republican Nomination
Probability1%
Highly Unlikely
Until May 2026Sports
Sunderland Wins 2025-26 English Premier League
Probability0%
Highly Unlikely
Until Feb 2026Sports
Jacksonville Jaguars Win Super Bowl LX
Probability2%
Likely
Until Dec 2025Business
Lighter Token Valuation Poised to Exceed $2 Billion Post-Launch
Probability67%
Highly Unlikely
Until May 2026Sports
Brentford Fails to Win 2025-26 Premier League Title
Probability0%
Highly Unlikely
Until Nov 2028Politics
Rand Paul Wins 2028 Republican Presidential Nomination
Probability1%
Highly Unlikely
Until May 2026Sports
Union Saint-Gilloise Wins 2025-26 Champions League
Probability0%
Highly Unlikely
Until Dec 2025Business
Ethereum unlikely to reach $10,000 on Binance in 2025
Probability0%
Highly Unlikely
Until May 2026Sports
Fulham Wins 2025-26 English Premier League
Probability0%
Highly Unlikely
Until Dec 2025Business
Bitcoin Price Stays Above $70,000 Through 2025
Probability11%
Highly Unlikely
Until May 2026Sports
Wolves Win 2025-26 Premier League
Probability0%
Highly Unlikely
Politics
PVV + GL/PvdA + VVD + CDA + D66 Coalition Unlikely
Probability0%
Highly Unlikely
Until Nov 2028Politics
Kim Kardashian Wins 2028 Republican Nomination
Probability1%
Highly Unlikely
Until Jul 2026Sports
Charlotte Hornets Win 2026 NBA Finals
Probability0%
Highly Unlikely
Until May 2026Sports
Crystal Palace Wins 2025-26 English Premier League
Probability0%
Highly Unlikely
Until Nov 2028Politics
Mark Cuban Wins 2028 Democratic Nomination
Probability1%
Highly Unlikely
Until Dec 2025Politics
Călin Georgescu unlikely to win Bucharest mayoral by-election.
Probability0%
Highly Unlikely
Until Dec 2025Business
Bitcoin Price Targets $250,000 on Binance in 2025
Probability0%
Highly Likely
Until Nov 2025Politics
Nasry "Tito" Asfura Wins Honduran Presidential Election
Probability93%
Highly Unlikely
Until Jul 2026Sports
Washington Wizards Win 2026 NBA Finals
Probability0%
Highly Unlikely
Until Dec 2025Business
Ethereum reaches $7,000 on Binance in 2025
Probability1%
Highly Unlikely
Until Jul 2026Sports
Utah Jazz to Win 2026 NBA Finals
Probability0%
Highly Likely
Until Dec 2025Other
US Government Confirms No Extraterrestrial Life or Technology
Probability98%
Highly Unlikely
Until May 2026Sports
Club Brugge Wins 2025-26 UEFA Champions League
Probability0%
Highly Unlikely
Until Nov 2028Politics
Fetterman Lacks Traction in 2028 Democratic Nomination Race
Probability1%
Highly Unlikely
Until May 2026Sports
Espanyol Wins 2025-26 La Liga
Probability0%
Highly Unlikely
Until Dec 2025Other
Justin Young Does Not Win 2025 Heads-Up Poker Championship
Probability0%
Highly Unlikely
Until May 2026Sports
West Ham Not Crowned Premier League Champions 2025-26
Probability0%
Unlikely
Until Dec 2025Politics
US-Venezuela military engagement remains unlikely by year-end
Probability34%
Highly Unlikely
Until Dec 2025Sports
Oscar Piastri Contends for 2025 F1 Drivers Championship
Probability4%
Highly Unlikely
Until Nov 2025Politics
Salvador Nasralla Contends in 2025 Honduran Election
Probability6%
Highly Unlikely
Until Jul 2026Sports
Brooklyn Nets unlikely to win 2026 NBA Finals
Probability0%
Highly Unlikely
Until Nov 2028Politics
Michelle Obama Unlikely to Secure 2028 Democratic Nomination
Probability1%
Highly Unlikely
Until Feb 2026Sports
Chicago Bears Win Super Bowl LX
Probability3%
Highly Unlikely
Until Nov 2028Politics
Jared Polis Lags in 2028 Democratic Nomination Race
Probability1%
Highly Unlikely
Until Nov 2028Politics
Katie Britt Pursues 2028 Republican Nomination
Probability0%
Highly Unlikely
Until Dec 2025Politics
Crin Antonescu Competes for Bucharest Mayor
Probability0%
Highly Unlikely
Until Nov 2028Politics
John Thune Will Not Win 2028 Republican Nomination
Probability0%
Highly Unlikely
Until Dec 2025Sports
Jason Calacanis Does Not Win Heads-Up Poker Championship
Probability0%
Highly Unlikely
Until Nov 2028Politics
Raphael Warnock Fails to Secure 2028 Democratic Nomination
Probability1%
Highly Unlikely
Until Nov 2028Politics
Corey Booker Faces Long Odds for 2028 Democratic Nomination
Probability1%
Uncertain
Until Jul 2026Other
Jesus Christ Returns Before GTA VI Release
Probability49%
Highly Unlikely
Until Feb 2026Sports
Patriots Face Uphill Battle for Super Bowl LX Title
Probability8%
Highly Unlikely
Until Jan 2026Politics
Raul Perestrello Unlikely to Win Portuguese Presidential Election
Probability0%
Highly Unlikely
Until May 2026Sports
Nottm Forest Wins 2025-26 Premier League
Probability0%
Highly Unlikely
Until Dec 2025Other
Bitcoin reaches $1 million on Binance in 2025
Probability0%
Highly Unlikely
Until Dec 2025Finance
Ethereum Hits $6,000 on Binance in 2025
Probability1%
Highly Unlikely
Until Nov 2028Politics
Elon Musk Secures 2028 Republican Presidential Nomination
Probability1%
Highly Unlikely
Until Feb 2026Sports
Washington Commanders Fail to Win Super Bowl LX
Probability0%
Highly Unlikely
Until May 2026Sports
Aston Villa Secures 2025-26 Premier League Title
Probability1%
Highly Unlikely
Until Nov 2028Politics
Kristi Noem Secures 2028 GOP Nomination
Probability1%
Highly Unlikely
Until Dec 2025Pop Culture
Superman (2025) Fails to Top 2025 Box Office
Probability0%
Highly Unlikely
Until Nov 2028Politics
Tom Brady unlikely to win 2028 Republican nomination
Probability1%
Highly Unlikely
Until May 2026Sports
Ajax Fails to Win 2025-26 Champions League
Probability0%
Highly Unlikely
Until Oct 2025Politics
UCR Faces Uphill Battle in 2025 Argentine Elections
Probability0%
Highly Unlikely
Until Nov 2028Politics
Nikki Haley Wins 2028 US Presidential Election
Probability1%
Highly Likely
Until Dec 2025Politics
China's Taiwan Offensive Averted by 2025 Deadline
Probability99%
Highly Unlikely
Until Nov 2028Politics
Gina Raimondo Does Not Receive 2028 Democratic Nomination
Probability0%
Unlikely
Until Dec 2025Sports
Max Verstappen Leads 2025 F1 Driver Standings
Probability23%
Highly Unlikely
Until Dec 2025Politics
Grindeanu Loses Bucharest Mayoral By-Election
Probability0%
Highly Unlikely
Until Nov 2028Politics
Hillary Clinton Fails to Secure 2028 Democratic Nomination
Probability1%
Highly Unlikely
Until Nov 2028Politics
Andrew Yang Secures 2028 Democratic Nomination
Probability1%
Highly Unlikely
Until Nov 2028Politics
LeBron James Secures 2028 Democratic Nomination
Probability1%
Highly Unlikely
Until Nov 2028Politics
LeBron James Does Not Win 2028 Election
Probability1%
Highly Unlikely
Until Nov 2028Politics
Phil Murphy Fails to Secure Democratic Nomination
Probability1%
Highly Unlikely
Until Dec 2025Sports
Chef Phillip Loses 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship
Probability0%
Highly Unlikely
Until Nov 2028Politics
Chelsea Clinton Wins 2028 Democratic Nomination
Probability1%
Highly Unlikely
Until Dec 2025Business
Saudi Aramco Fails to Become World's Largest Company by 2025
Probability0%
Highly Unlikely
Until Dec 2025Sports
David Williams Does Not Win Championship
Probability0%
Highly Unlikely
Until May 2026Sports
Leeds United's 2025-26 Premier League Title Run Highly Improbable
Probability0%
Highly Unlikely
Until Dec 2025Business
Federal Reserve Holds Interest Rates Steady December 2025
Probability7%
Highly Likely
Until Dec 2025Business
Federal Reserve Decreases Interest Rates by 25 Basis Points
Probability94%
Highly Unlikely
Until Feb 2026Sports
Cincinnati Bengals Fail to Win Super Bowl LX
Probability0%
Highly Unlikely
Until Dec 2025Sports
Rob Riggle Wins 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship
Probability0%
Highly Likely
Until Dec 2025Other
Russia Ukraine Ceasefire Agreement Eludes End of 2025 Deadline
Probability96%
Highly Unlikely
Until Feb 2026Sports
Carolina Panthers Win Super Bowl LX
Probability1%
Highly Unlikely
Until Feb 2026Sports
Cleveland Browns Win Super Bowl LX
Probability0%
Highly Unlikely
Until Feb 2026Sports
New York Jets Fail to Win Super Bowl LX
Probability0%
Highly Likely
Until Dec 2025Politics
Real-Money Trade Executes on Regulated DCM by Year-End 2025
Probability100%
Highly Likely
Until Dec 2025Politics
Xi Jinping remains China's General Secretary through 2025
Probability99%
Highly Unlikely
Until Feb 2026Sports
Miami Dolphins Fail to Win Super Bowl LX
Probability0%
Highly Unlikely
Until Dec 2025Business
Federal Reserve Avoids 50+ Bps Interest Rate Decrease
Probability1%
Highly Likely
Until Dec 2025Sports
PARIVISION Highly Likely to Win Map 1 Against 3DMAX in StarLadder Major Budapest
Probability100%
Highly Likely
Until Jul 2026Sports
Philadelphia 76ers Heavily Favored to Win 2026 NBA Finals
Probability99%
Highly Likely
Until Dec 2025
US Marijuana Rescheduling Highly Likely by End of 2025
Probability95%
Highly Likely
Until Dec 2025
2025's Second-Highest Grossing Film Outcome Highly Likely
Probability93%
Highly Likely
Until Jan 2026Politics
Portugal Presidential Election Set for January 2026
Probability100%
Highly Likely
Until Dec 2025Sports
Australia Heavily Favored to Win December 2025 Cricket Clash Against England
Probability80%
Highly Likely
Until Dec 2025Business
Current World's Richest Person Highly Likely to Retain Top Spot by End of 2025
Probability98%
Highly Likely
Until Mar 2026Pop Culture
Academy Awards Best Supporting Actress Race Heats Up
Probability98%
Highly Likely
Until Dec 2025Business
COMEX Gold Prices Projected to Reach Elevated Levels by Year-End 2025
Probability90%
Highly Likely
Until Dec 2025Politics
US Congress Stock Trading Ban Highly Likely by End of 2025
Probability99%
Likely
Until Dec 2025Other
New Epstein Files Potentially Unveiling Further Connections Expected by Year-End
Probability74%
Uncertain
Until Dec 2025Sports
College Football: North Texas vs. Tulane Matchup Remains Uncertain
Probability52%