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Hillary Clinton Fails to Secure 2028 Democratic Nomination
Highly Unlikely

Hillary Clinton Fails to Secure 2028 Democratic Nomination

Current Probability1%
Impossible (0%)Certain (100%)

Event Context

The 2028 U.S. Presidential election cycle is still years away, but early discussions about potential candidates for the Democratic Party nomination are beginning. Hillary Clinton, a significant figure in recent Democratic history, including her past presidential campaigns, remains a notable name. However, the political landscape is constantly evolving, and the party is widely expected to focus on a new generation of leaders for the upcoming election.

Factors such as age, the desire for fresh perspectives, and the need to energize different voter demographics generally point away from a nomination for candidates who have already had multiple high-profile presidential runs. The Democratic Party's strategy typically involves cultivating rising stars and ensuring diverse representation on the national ticket. Given these considerations, Hillary Clinton securing the 2028 nomination is viewed as a remote possibility, with the party likely to coalesce around other contenders.

Sources

Resolution Rules

The market resolves to 'Yes' if Hillary Clinton wins and accepts the Democratic Party's nomination for the 2028 U.S. presidential election. Otherwise, it resolves to 'No'.

Resolution Deadline

November 7, 2028

Market Source: Polymarket

ID: d22b382b