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Lighter Token Valuation Poised to Exceed $2 Billion Post-Launch
Likely

Lighter Token Valuation Poised to Exceed $2 Billion Post-Launch

Current Probability67%
Impossible (0%)Certain (100%)

Event Context

The cryptocurrency Lighter is nearing its token launch, with significant market attention focused on its potential Fully Diluted Valuation (FDV) shortly after release. Current sentiment suggests a strong possibility that the FDV could surpass the critical $2 billion threshold within the first 24 hours of trading.

The valuation metric of FDV is a key indicator for crypto projects, representing the total potential worth of all tokens in existence if they were all in circulation. A valuation exceeding $2 billion would signal substantial investor confidence and a successful market entry for Lighter.

The success of the launch is contingent on the actual market performance and the token's reception by investors. The project has set a deadline of December 31, 2025, for its token launch, after which the market will default to a negative resolution if no launch occurs.

Resolution Rules

Market resolves 'Yes' if Lighter's token Fully Diluted Valuation exceeds $2 billion 24 hours after launch. Resolves 'No' otherwise, or if launch does not occur by December 31, 2025.

Resolution Deadline

December 31, 2025

Market Source: Polymarket

ID: d131bb19