Xi Jinping remains China's General Secretary through 2025
Event Context
Xi Jinping, the current General Secretary of the Communist Party of China, has solidified his position as the paramount leader of China. His tenure has been marked by significant political reforms and a strong emphasis on party discipline and loyalty. He has successfully removed presidential term limits, allowing him to potentially rule indefinitely, a move that underscores his firm grip on power.
Given Xi Jinping's entrenched authority and the Communist Party's centralized control, the likelihood of his removal from power within the specified timeframe of June 12 to December 31, 2025, is considered extremely low. The party structure and political landscape in China are designed to ensure stability at the highest levels, and any challenge to Xi's leadership would face immense obstacles and is not anticipated by political observers. Therefore, the expectation is that he will continue to serve his term without interruption.
Resolution Rules
The market resolves to "No" if Xi Jinping is not removed from power as CCP General Secretary between June 12 and December 31, 2025. Removal includes resignation, dismissal, detention, disqualification, or prevention from fulfilling his duties.
Resolution Deadline
December 31, 2025
Market Source: Polymarket