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Federal Reserve Holds Interest Rates Steady December 2025
Highly Unlikely

Federal Reserve Holds Interest Rates Steady December 2025

Current Probability7%
Impossible (0%)Certain (100%)

Event Context

The Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) is responsible for setting U.S. monetary policy, with a primary tool being the target range for the federal funds rate. This rate influences borrowing costs throughout the economy.

Decisions are made at scheduled meetings, with the December 2025 meeting being a key juncture for assessing economic conditions and adjusting policy accordingly. Market participants closely monitor these meetings for signals about the future path of interest rates, which can impact inflation, employment, and overall economic growth. The FOMC's statements following these meetings provide crucial details on their policy decisions and economic outlook, as noted on the official FOMC calendar Federal Reserve.

Sources

Resolution Rules

Market resolves based on the FOMC statement after the December 9-10, 2025 meeting, measuring the change in the upper bound of the federal funds rate target. Changes are rounded to the nearest 25 basis points.

Resolution Deadline

December 10, 2025

Market Source: Polymarket

ID: ad0293bb