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Federal Reserve Decreases Interest Rates by 25 Basis Points
Highly Likely

Federal Reserve Decreases Interest Rates by 25 Basis Points

Current Probability94%
Impossible (0%)Certain (100%)

Event Context

The Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) is poised to implement a 25 basis point decrease in the upper bound of the target federal funds rate. This decision, anticipated to be announced following their December 2025 meeting, reflects the committee's ongoing assessment of economic conditions and its mandate to foster maximum employment and price stability.

Such a move would signal a shift in monetary policy, potentially aimed at stimulating economic activity by making borrowing less expensive for businesses and consumers. The FOMC's statements are closely scrutinized for insights into the future path of interest rates and the committee's outlook on inflation and economic growth. The final determination will be detailed in the official FOMC statement, as published on the Federal Reserve's website.

Sources

Resolution Rules

This market resolves based on the FOMC's official statement regarding changes to the federal funds rate target.

Resolution Deadline

December 10, 2025

Market Source: Polymarket

ID: a9e823b4