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Bitcoin Price Stays Above $70,000 Through 2025
Highly Unlikely

Bitcoin Price Stays Above $70,000 Through 2025

Current Probability11%
Impossible (0%)Certain (100%)

Event Context

Market watchers are closely observing Bitcoin's price trajectory throughout 2025. A specific financial instrument is set to settle based on whether the cryptocurrency's value dips to $70,000 or lower. This resolution hinges on minute-by-minute price data recorded on the Binance exchange for the BTCUSDT trading pair. The period under review extends from late December 2024 through the end of 2025. If at any point during this timeframe, a one-minute candle closes with a low price at or below the $70,000 mark, the event will be confirmed. Otherwise, if Bitcoin maintains prices above this threshold for all monitored one-minute intervals, the event will not be confirmed.

Sources

Resolution Rules

This market resolves 'Yes' if Binance's BTCUSDT 1-minute candle shows a low price of $70,000 or less between December 30, 2024, 20:00 ET and December 31, 2025, 23:59 ET. Otherwise, it resolves 'No'.

Resolution Deadline

December 31, 2025

Market Source: Polymarket

ID: 9fc07d15