PVV + GL/PvdA + VVD + CDA + D66 Coalition Unlikely
Event Context
The 2025 Dutch general election is slated for October 29, 2025, with the subsequent formation of a ruling coalition being a critical and often lengthy process. Historically, Dutch coalition governments are formed through complex negotiations among multiple parties, as a single party rarely secures an outright majority.
The current political landscape in the Netherlands is characterized by a diverse range of parties, making coalition building a challenging endeavor. The upcoming election will determine the composition of the House of Representatives, which in turn will influence the parties involved in government formation. The process typically involves extensive discussions to agree on policy platforms and ministerial appointments, with official announcements often taking months after the election date.
Sources
Resolution Rules
This market resolves based on the formation of a ruling coalition after the 2025 Dutch general election. The specified coalition must be officially announced and sworn in, with participating parties signing an agreement and appointing at least one minister. If no coalition is announced by October 31, 2026, the market resolves to 'No Coalition by October 31'. Resolution is based on credible reporting or official government information.
Market Source: Polymarket