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John Thune Will Not Win 2028 Republican Nomination
Highly Unlikely

John Thune Will Not Win 2028 Republican Nomination

Current Probability0%
Impossible (0%)Certain (100%)

Event Context

The race for the 2028 Republican presidential nomination is in its early stages, with a crowded field of potential contenders. Senator John Thune, a prominent figure in the Republican party, is not currently seen as a frontrunner. Political analyses and early indicators suggest that other candidates are favored to win the party's backing for the upcoming presidential election. Thune's path to the nomination faces significant hurdles, with his prospects appearing increasingly improbable as the political landscape develops.

The journey to securing a major party's nomination for the U.S. presidency is a demanding endeavor, requiring substantial political capital, broad coalition-building, and sustained public engagement. For Senator Thune, the current political climate and the emergence of other strong contenders present considerable challenges. As the nomination process unfolds, the prevailing sentiment among political observers is that Thune is unlikely to emerge as the Republican Party's choice for the 2028 presidential election.

Resolution Rules

Market resolves to Yes if John Thune wins and accepts the 2028 Republican presidential nomination; otherwise No.

Resolution Deadline

November 7, 2028

Market Source: Polymarket

ID: 6674355e