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Josh Hawley Does Not Win 2028 Republican Nomination
Highly Unlikely

Josh Hawley Does Not Win 2028 Republican Nomination

Current Probability1%
Impossible (0%)Certain (100%)

Event Context

The contest for the 2028 Republican presidential nomination is a long-term prospect, with many potential candidates yet to formally declare their intentions or establish strong campaigns. Senator Josh Hawley is among those who could theoretically seek the nomination, but current political analysis and market sentiment indicate he is not positioned as a leading contender at this early stage.

The path to the nomination is complex, requiring broad support within the party and a compelling platform to address national issues. As the election cycle progresses, public opinion, primary results, and campaign strategies will all play a crucial role in shaping the ultimate outcome and determining who will carry the Republican banner in 2028. Politico

Sources

Resolution Rules

Market resolves to "Yes" if Josh Hawley wins and accepts the 2028 Republican presidential nomination; otherwise resolves to "No".

Resolution Deadline

November 7, 2028

Market Source: Polymarket

ID: 31a49ae9