Back to Feed
Kim Kardashian Wins 2028 Republican Nomination
Highly Unlikely

Kim Kardashian Wins 2028 Republican Nomination

Current Probability1%
Impossible (0%)Certain (100%)

Event Context

The race for the 2028 Republican presidential nomination is expected to be a fiercely contested battle, with numerous established political figures likely to vie for the party's backing. Historically, successful nominees have deep roots in conservative politics, extensive legislative or executive experience, and a proven track record within the party's established platforms.

In this context, the prospect of media personality and businesswoman Kim Kardashian securing the Republican nomination presents a significant departure from typical political trajectories. While Kardashian commands a substantial public profile, her background in entertainment and business, coupled with a lack of conventional political engagement or policy-making experience, places her outside the traditional mold of presidential aspirants. The path to nomination would require an unprecedented shift in party priorities and voter sentiment, overcoming considerable skepticism regarding her qualifications and alignment with core Republican principles, making her success in this endeavor a highly speculative outcome.

The market is currently pricing this outcome at a very low probability, indicating a strong consensus among participants that this scenario is unlikely to materialize. The resolution hinges on official confirmation from the Republican Party itself regarding the nomination.

Sources

Resolution Rules

The market resolves to "Yes" if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 Republican Party nomination for U.S. president, as confirmed by a consensus of official Republican Party sources. Otherwise, it resolves to "No". Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not affect the resolution.

Resolution Deadline

November 7, 2028

Market Source: Polymarket

ID: 06b3cb85